WHY THE NATURE OF FORESIGHT IS NEGATED BY FEAR+++

Just because we expect something to happen in all probability, doesn't mean it'll necessarily happen. Take, for example, the 1994-95 Houston Rockets. They looked improbability in the eye and shot it down in their path to the NBA Championship. In degrees in which we believe tomorrow is expected, sometimes we must realize that day may never come.

 
     
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About

The Person Behind the Show
My name is Rahat Ahmed. I'm a twenty-two year old living in New York City. I was born in Dhaka, Bangladesh on Augsut 28, 1981, and spent half of my pre-collegiate life in Houston, Texas. In May, I will hopefully be graduating from the Stern School of Business at New York University on my way to an appropriately named dual-B.S. in Finance and Marketing. I do not get good grades. That withstanding, I will be (and already do) working at an emerging markets hedge fund in SoHo. We are cool. We have metal desks.

I am passionate about quite a few things in life, and sometimes feel that I'm the reincarnation of the modern renaissance man. But, of course, I tend to be often delusional. You can decide yourself: I love films. You can visit by "Top 20" list here. My favorite film of all-time is Wong Kar-Wai's In the Mood For Love. I love music. My favorite bands are Radiohead, New Order and The Weakerthans. And yes, I do believe "Hey Ya" is arguably one of the greatest songs of all time. I like books. I'm obsessed with Haruki Murakami. I also enjoy food quite a bit. If you're ever in the city, I could probably give you some good locations to try out.

Previously: I've written A Crash Course in Rahat, for you to enjoy.

Why So Cautiously Optimistic?
Life is suddenly wonderful. That is to say, for the past few years, the benchmark has been less than impressive. Nonetheless, everything suddenly is fitting together. I feel as if I have direction for once—and believe me, it's nice to know where you're going for once. Yeah: I feel comfortable with life.

But it's never smart to be too happy about a potentially bright future. While hoping for the worst is often too pessimistic, it's good to take the chance of success with a grain of salt. That is, essentially, cautious optimism at its finest.

The Name and Its Birthplace
Interestingly, the idea came about from an earnings call on February 10 for Taiwanese LCD-panel maker AU Optronics. The gap in syntax psychology between Western investors and Chinese modesty was clearly seen when the term “cautiously optimistic” led people to believe that management was shaky about the future of the firm. Even though management is probably very confident about the company's outlook, they are not smug enough to say it blatantly; instead, they hint at their glowing success by prefixing “optimistic” with “cautiously.” Most Western investors misunderstood this as a sign of weakness. The stock fell heavily.